Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began (24 February 2022), there has been one clear runaway winner of the conflict — the global arms trade. After two years of near stagnation in the industry due to a pandemic emergency, the war in eastern Europe has been a massively lucrative lifeline for behemoth weapons manufacturers in the United States and Europe. … More Weapons Trade Driving Ukraine War
There can be no question that this new configuration will establish the territorial boundaries of the new Cold War. And nothing of this should come as much of a surprise to anyone in Washington or Brussels. George Kennan and Henry Kissinger warned that NATO expansion into eastern Europe would provoke a conflict with Russia. Mikhail Gorbachev, Boris Yeltsin, and Vladimir Putin each expressed their concerns over the extension of US hegemony in the region, and in 2015 Noam Chomsky reminded the West what the end of Ukrainian neutrality would trigger. … More The Future of Ukraine
The enforcement of an air exclusion zone is not merely a matter of having the upperhand in the airspace subject to the exclusion (‘air superiority’), it requires the military capability to dominate the zone and exclude all unauthorised aircraft — by force if necessary (‘air supremacy’). Such dominance therefore demands the strength and ability to impose this with the destruction of hostile radar, air defences, and air bases — all of which are in sovereign Russian territory. … More Air Exclusion Zone (Ukraine)
Standpoint Zero 