Russian Invasion of Ukraine (Assessment)

We have not witnessed a hard push into the interior or to the west of Ukraine because the Russians are not interested in the interior or west of Ukraine. Strategically speaking, even a cursory glance at the map shows the Russian army either has or is within striking distance of everything of any value. This is Russian military doctrine — an economic war rather than ‘Shock and Awe.’ … More Russian Invasion of Ukraine (Assessment)

Air Exclusion Zone (Ukraine)

The enforcement of an air exclusion zone is not merely a matter of having the upperhand in the airspace subject to the exclusion (‘air superiority’), it requires the military capability to dominate the zone and exclude all unauthorised aircraft — by force if necessary (‘air supremacy’). Such dominance therefore demands the strength and ability to impose this with the destruction of hostile radar, air defences, and air bases — all of which are in sovereign Russian territory. … More Air Exclusion Zone (Ukraine)

Ukraine’s Darkest Secret

The Maidan, that is the 2014 Ukrainian revolution, was a defining moment for Ukrainian Nazis. Far-right and neo-Nazi groups, with their distinctive red and black flags and paramilitary outfits were a highly visible element of the protests and uprising. They were instrumental in Kyiv in ousting the government, and their support was quickly sought by the new ‘democratic’ regime. This, of course, is one of the most difficult parts of the story for non-Ukrainians to get their heads around, and — like much of the politics of Ukraine — it is complicated. … More Ukraine’s Darkest Secret